French President Emmanuel Macron greets Interim President Mahamat Idriss Deby ahead of a dinner at Élysée Palace.
© picture alliance / Hans Lucas | Xose Bouzas
Chad Navigates Multipolar Disorder. The Perils of Playing Geopolitics for Regime Survival
Megatrends Policy Brief 19, 11.12.2023, 7 Pagesdoi:10.18449/2023MTA-PB19
Deby is seizing the multipolar disorder as an opportunity to consolidate his power. By capitalizing on Chad's status as one of the region’s last remaining partners of Western states, Deby has relied on French military presence as the ultimate deterrent against his overthrow by force. However, cooperation with the UAE in channelling military assistance to the RSF in Sudan, poses serious domestic and external risks.
French President Emmanuel Macron greets Interim President Mahamat Idriss Deby ahead of a dinner at Élysée Palace.
© picture alliance / Hans Lucas | Xose Bouzas
The range of external actors intervening in internal conflicts on the African continent has undergone a noticeable change. Three states in particular are intervening in a growing number of African conflicts: the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Turkey, and Russia. Their expanding footprint shows that the multipolar disorder that has characterised wars in the Middle East now also affects much of Africa.
doi:10.18449/2022MTA-PB03
Dynastic consolidation and its risks
doi:10.18449/2022C67
Megatrends such as climate change, digitalisation, and urbanisation are transforming all aspects of politics, economics and society in Africa. Consequently, they are also affecting conflict dynamics. This Working Paper focuses specifically on how megatrends are altering patterns of foreign intervention in African conflicts. Two aspects stand out: the range of intervening powers is widening, and they are intervening increasingly at arm’s length by delegating to human or technical surrogates.
doi:10.18449/2022MTA-WP02
